Who will seize the strategic initiative in WWIII?

Dimitrios Patelis | Revolutionary Unification (Greece) 

Contents 

• Introduction

• The active and potential theatres and fronts of military operations. A crisis of tactics

• Escalation of Economic Warfare

• Politics and war diplomacy. A Change in Tactics

• Some Conclusions

Introduction

The conflict in Ukraine has been escalating for over three years, making it the largest theatre of operations in World War III (WWIII).

At the same time, the confrontation in all active and potential theatres of war is rapidly intensifying. This is especially true for the escalating offensive of the imperialist axis and its instruments, led by the USA, against the “weak links” of the resistance axis in West and South-West Asia: Palestine, Syria, Lebanon, Yemen, with Iran as the main target.

There are also potential theatres of war in East Asia (the Korean peninsula and Taiwan), as well as in the regions of the Transcaucasia and Central Asia, where the involvement of the axis of aggression through Turkey and Israel is increasing.

The confrontation is escalating at all levels: operational military, economic, ideological-political, diplomatic and scientific. Here we will address some key aspects of a range of possibilities, and the need to improve tactics.

With the escalation of the conflict to a quantitatively and qualitatively higher stage, the problem of the mismatch between the subjects involved on both sides is brought to the surface. The central issue is the adoption of tactics capable of ensuring the reorganisation of the subject with the prospect of victory, through control of the strategic initiative, the element of surprise, asymmetric attacks, etc.

The active and potential theatres and fronts of military operations. A crisis of tactics

The US-NATO-EU imperialist axis continues to use the Ukrainian people as “cannon fodder”, using the occupation regime to forcibly impose participation in a fratricidal war that has devolved into genocide. The Ukrainian Armed Forces (UAF) are largely made up of men of all ages who have been forcibly conscripted through military police raids, turning the country into a vast concentration and extermination camp under the supervision, sponsorship and guidance of the imperialist axis. In this “conflict by proxy” between the axis and the Russian Federation (RF) and its allies, changes have taken place.

The armed forces of the RF are slowly advancing within the framework of the “Special Military Operation” (SMO). However, despite the successful liberation of Suja after a surprise attack by Russian commandos via a disused natural gas pipeline, the part of the Kursk region captured by Euro-Atlantic forces of the “Ukrainian Army” and foreign mercenaries in August 2024 has not yet been fully retaken.

Despite minor advances, the front line has remained stagnant for the past two years. The SMO has now taken on the characteristics of a bloody, static “war of attrition” in which the RF is emerging as the victor “on points,” a fact that is increasingly acknowledged even by Western sources.

The tactics used by the RF Armed Forces―under the orders of the political leadership―the means, methods, forces involved and the direction of operations, do not seem to achieve the strategic initiative on the battlefields.

The initially declared “strategic objectives” (“denazification” and “demilitarisation” of Ukraine) remain vague, while even greater confusion is sown by political officials and diplomats as to the constantly changing territorial claims… This ambiguity of the objectives, combined with ideological confusion, is affecting the morale of the armed forces.

It is unequivocally clear that the forces of the imperialist axis have systematically constructed the Nazi regime in Kyiv as a “battering ram” and “strike force” for the destruction and dissolution/conquest of the RF itself.

Therefore, if even the smallest territory of this entity remains as a state formation, it will continue to serve as a fascist instrument of the axis, available for new murderous adventurism of a revanchist nature. A formation that will not only be “anti-Russian”, but will be promoted as a model for the fascisation of European and other countries, in the framework of the militarisation of the economy and society that imperialism will need for the further spread of war.

Consequently, despite the rhetoric and tactics of the political leadership of the RF, any objective other than the total defeat and unconditional surrender of this regime is, in reality, inconsistent with the character of the conflict in the Ukrainian theatre of WWIII and works to the advantage of the axis of aggression.

This stagnation of the front line may reflect:

• the reluctance of the leadership for escalating aggression against a brotherly people brutally exploited by the enemy, 

• the actual inability to effectively counter the strength not only of Nazi Ukraine but also of some 55 countries directly and in various ways involved in the attack on the RF,

• the political leadership of the RF fearing a rapid escalation leading to total thermonuclear destruction, 

• fearing having to contend with a victorious army fighting the Nazis once again, “like their grandfathers in the USSR in 1941-1945”, with a pro-Soviet ideological reference and elevated political consciousness, 

• the observed reluctance of this leadership of the newly formed bourgeoisie in the RF to achieve an effective strategic victory, limiting the scale and intensity of the confrontation to some partial successes in the field,

• the reduction of strategy to the tactic of languidly collecting more bargaining chips for renegotiation under more favourable conditions, a return to the familiar and comfortable position and role of comprador/mediator in the sale of energy, raw materials and cheap labour to the dominant structures of imperialism, or, finally, 

• a combination of the above in the spirit of vulgar pragmatism and opportunism, so that the leadership of the RF buys some time with an approach summarised as “figuring things out as you go”.

This situation is now being interpreted even by the men of the RF armed forces as a failed tactic of selling out and defeatism. This mass discontent, combined with the possibility of a shameful compromise with the axis, a “ceasefire” that will be widely perceived as “a victory stolen from us by traitors and national sellouts, may become unmanageable for the RF ruling class.

Adding to the confusion is the RF leadership’s declared willingness to negotiate from the beginning of the SMO and its occasional … practical outcomes.

Typical were the indescribable negotiations in Constantinople, which led to the voluntary withdrawal of the RF Armed Forces from all positions held at the time, thus essentially abandoning the strategic initiative they had secured since the spring of 2022. A withdrawal carried out on Putin’s orders, as a “gesture of goodwill”!…

Then there is the experience of previous shameful agreements, such as the infamous pledge “not to expand NATO an inch eastward” in 1991, and the so-called “Minsk-1” and “Minsk-2” agreements of 2015. The former was violated almost immediately with the fragmentation, conquest and wholesale NATOisation of almost all the counterrevolutionary regimes that prevailed in the early socialist countries of Europe, along with a number of statelets/protectorates that emerged from the counterrevolutionary dissolution of the USSR. By the admission of the Western leaders of the time and their “guarantors”, the agreements were only signed as a pretext to allow the full Nazification and arming/militarisation of the Kiev junta regime, while―under pressure from the Kremlin, as a “gesture of goodwill”―they were implemented only by the militias of the Lugansk and Donetsk People’s Republics! For eight years, the Nazis of the Axis carried out a virtually unimpeded genocide against the rebellious people of Donbass. 

As Vladimir Putin himself said, “It turned out, and everyone knows this today, that both the Ukrainian authorities and their Western curators were unfortunately misleading us and trying to trick us. Former leaders who used to stand at the helm of several leading Western nations, including former President of France Hollande and Ms Merkel, the former German Chancellor, stated openly that they needed these Minsk agreements merely to deliver more weapons to the Ukrainian regime and to prepare it for a military confrontation with Russia. However, during these eight years, the people in Donbass, Lugansk and Donetsk faced outright genocide, and I mean real genocide. But the Ukrainian regime’s Western curators preferred to turn a blind eye to these developments, forcing us to try to stop the war which started in 2014 by military means. We were not the ones who started it. 

By the way, even when the armed conflict escalated into open confrontation in 2022, we were still offering to settle all the outstanding issues by peaceful means. Moreover, as I have said many times, we reached an agreement with Ukraine during our talks in Istanbul. I must mention that we had an agreement on matters that are being raised all the time these days and are viewed as something impossible. I am referring to de-Nazifying and demilitarising efforts. In fact, we had a deal on these issues, and it was all set forth in the agreement, I mean its draft. Ukraine’s head negotiator initialled a summary of this document. They initialled and signed this document, which means that it was acceptable to them.

We know what happened next. After that, their European curators arrived, including former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson, who convinced the Ukrainian leadership to keep fighting until there are virtually no Ukrainians left and to inflict a strategic defeat on Russia” (Vladimir Putin visited Arkhangelsk nuclear-powered cruiser submarine. 27 March 2025).

In Syria, a new systematic genocide against Alawites, Shiites and Christians has begun by the Islamo-fascist terrorist self-proclaimed “new authorities”, who are creations of the US-NATO-EU axis and under the direct guidance of the Turkish and Israeli regimes. These “authorities” have cut off access to the internet in order to conceal the genocide, as the main source of information remains the habit of the drunken monsters / sadists―to post pictures of the atrocities they are committing on social media. Mercenaries from the Muslim populations of the Russian Federation and the post-Soviet space are at the forefront of the atrocities against civilians. The bodies of the massacred are loaded onto trucks, while countless incidents of horrific rape and torture take place.

The racist Zionist instrument of the axis in West Asia is escalating the genocide/ethnic cleansing in Palestine with the absolute support of the US-NATO-EU, the attacks on Lebanon and the expansion of the occupied territories into Syria under the “new authorities”.

WWIII is a war of life and death for Palestine, for the peoples of Lebanon, Syria, Iran and especially for heroic Yemen. The people and armed forces of Yemen are at the forefront of the struggle for freedom, independence, popular sovereignty and dignity.

The imperialist axis led by the USA is launching new waves of attacks against the Yemeni people and armed forces. The governments of NATO and EU countries are providing material support, bases and forces to the imperialist operations in the Red Sea.

The valiant struggle of the Yemeni people has become a symbol of solidarity with the Palestinian people and all struggling peoples in the consciousness of the whole world, a unique example of preserving honour and human dignity, a model of solidarity with incomparable self-sacrifice and selflessness. An example of greatness of spirit and physical strength, endurance, ingenuity and creativity, which succeeded in humiliating the vulgar arrogance and conceit of the imperialist ruler with successive blows. An example that will illuminate the path of the peoples for centuries to come, showing that when fundamental principles are at stake, no superior enemy can overcome the will of a rebellious people. The consciously rebellious people know that it is better to sacrifice themselves fighting with dignity against the oppressor than to live on their knees in endless humiliating submission!

In support of the escalation of the attacks, the area around the US naval base at Diego Garcia (1,796 kilometres south of India) has been declared a no-fly zone until at least 1 May. At least 7 strategic B-2 Spirit bombers and 7 C-17A Globemaster III transport aircraft have landed at this US base. Iran and Yemen are within the operational range of the B-2s.

Obviously, the imperialists’ military movements are linked to the 1st of May 2025, the expiry date of the ultimatum that Trump gave to Iran in order to force them to abandon the guarantee of their sovereignty that is the pursuit of a nuclear arsenal, as the DPRK has demonstrated.

Additionally, “a new U.S. missile system deployed in the Philippines puts key Chinese military and commercial hubs within striking distance”.

The system includes:

⊙ Tomahawk missiles (range 1,200 miles): capable of striking radar systems and command centres in Guangzhou and Nanjing.

⊙ SM-6 missiles (range 150-290 miles): capable of engaging ships, aircraft, cruise missiles and potentially hypersonic threats.

Escalation of Economic Warfare

The war is also escalating in the field of the global economy. The US dollar will continue its decline as a global reserve currency, as will the entirety of US securities in the global capital market, as the countries and peoples in WWIII fiercely reject the parasitic mechanism of monopoly super-profit extraction through imperialist neocolonial exploitation.

The “war of sanctions” also continues. In total, almost 21,700 new sanctions were imposed on Russia from February 2022 to January 2025. Most of them came from: the USA (6,433), Canada (3,185), Switzerland (3,010), the European Union (2,234), France (2,175), the UK (1,918), Australia (1,378), Japan (1,359). Of these, more than half (12,910) are individual sanctions (https://www.castellum.ai/russia-sanctions-dashboard).

Sanctions are used to attack the economy, science, technology, society, communications and culture of countries that are “disobedient” to the axis.

Sanctions are intended to change the policies of states, bring about regime change through riots, destabilisation of governments and incitement of “colour revolutions”/coups (as they attempted in Cuba, the overthrow of Salvador Allende in Chile, Yugoslavia, Syria, etc.), the cessation of unwanted hostilities, the undermining of the economic and military strength of countries, the dissolution of alliances, coalitions and the fragmentation of countries into bickering statelets/protectorates, the prevention of the development of nuclear and other weapons of mass destruction, etc.

The imposition and establishment of scientific and technological dependence is a primary objective of this economic war, with the emphasis on extracting super-profits in the form of “technological revenue” through intellectual property and patents. The extreme monetarist tariff policy and the use of sanctions as a unique weapon of coercion and subjugation of countries seem to hit the USA, the G-7 and the EU harder than the “punished” disobedient countries due to the rapid change in the balance of power. Deindustrialisation is escalating, particularly in the EU, leading to a revaluation of many imported products, while established global supply chains (logistics) are being hit, a fact that seems to have a more severe impact on the “punisher” countries.

Moreover, the sanctions and economic warfare unleashed by the US and its axis often produce unforeseen, diametrically opposed and asymmetrical results in favour of the “punished”. The examples of the DPRK, the PRC, Vietnam, Iran and, more recently, the RF show interesting trends: industrialisation or even reindustrialisation, development of research and know-how, repatriation of production, strengthening of self-sufficiency, food, technological and military-industrial security, development of equitable and mutually beneficial relations and cooperation, enhancement of prestige, exports, position and role in the global division of labour, etc…

Politics and war diplomacy. A Change in Tactics

WWIII is also escalating in the political-diplomatic field, with the group of the US oligarchy under Trump gaining the initiative, with more theatrics, surprises, threats, blackmail, faits accomplis, deceptions, etc.

Already on 18 February 2025 negotiations between Russia and the U.S.A. took place in Saudi Arabia.

On 18 April 2025 there was a telephone conversation between Trump and Putin, where Trump demanded a 30-day ceasefire. In the end, they agreed in principle to the possibility of a 30-day cessation of attacks on energy infrastructure between Russia and Ukraine, without setting a start date for this cessation. The next day, 19 April 2025, 175 Ukrainian prisoners were exchanged for 175 Russians. Moscow also handed over an additional 22 severely wounded Ukrainian prisoners in need of urgent medical care, as a “gesture of goodwill”.

On the same day, the Russian Defence Ministry announced that “seven Russian attack drones were airborne, targeting Ukrainian energy infrastructure facilities connected to the military-industrial complex in the Nikolaev region. Thus, “Russian air defences were ordered to neutralize the drones, six of which were shot down by the Pantsir missile system and one by an air force fighter jet”, again as a “gesture of goodwill”…

The White House also announced: “Trump and Putin agreed that Iran must never be able to destroy Israel”! The Kremlin did not deny it… If the ruling class of the Russian Federation takes practical steps in this direction, its credibility will be deeply undermined, and the pole of resistance will be irreparably weakened.

On 28 February 2025, an unprecedented event in the annals of diplomacy took place: a “clash between Trump and Zelensky” in the White House in front of the cameras. This clearly staged performance had many facets, motives and audiences, which, of course, cannot be reduced to the former’s personal dislike of the latter because of his “close ties” to the Biden administration.

This is a show of symbolism, signalling a turning point in the tactics and diplomacy of the leader of the imperialist axis of aggression.

It was an unprecedented public “dressing down” by the imperialist leader, a dramatised manipulation of global public opinion, warning of the dismissal of subservient staff: a thespian appointed as head of the servile Nazi regime in Kiev, an instrument of externally assigned/imposed by the US.

At the same time, it is a performance with a particular symbolism, aimed directly at the conditioned reflexes of the political personnel and the oligarchy of the RF. It is part of an effort to appease, win over, and trap the current Russian leadership in a dubious agreement.

In parallel, the US is making efforts to appease, win over and obtain the approval of India and other countries in softer tones (as part of the undermining of BRICS by manipulating historical antagonisms with the PRC).

The ultimate goal of this agreement is to undermine and ultimately break the alliance between Russia-China-Iran-the DPRK and the broader pole of anti-imperialist forces and socialist forces in WWIII.

This performance was aimed at the hasty and aggressive promotion of the US in the role of “global peacemaker”, starting with Ukraine.

The urgent need to change tactics and terms of engagement in this stagnant front situation, in this war of attrition against weapon systems, advisors, personnel, instructors, mercenaries, and even the prestige of the USA and NATO, takes on existential significance. However, it does not suit them to present the change of tactics not as an admission of defeat by the Axis, but as a “desperate and responsible” search by the USA for an “honourable surrender”, or at least a ceasefire, similar to that of the 38th parallel on the Korean peninsula in 1953.

Thus, they staged this performance and others that followed so that the defeat of the US-led axis in Ukraine could be attributed specifically to the failure of a “corrupt” scapegoat, a “disobedient and ungrateful, who is also non compos mentis”, the soon-to-be-dismissed Zelensky.

The U.S. rush to achieve even a temporary ceasefire in Ukraine, by definition, is not and cannot be about improving the position of the RF and its allies.

The main puppeteers, organisers, sponsors and directors of this protracted tragicomedy, on the pretext of a change of tenant in the White House, are suddenly proclaiming and projecting themselves as supposedly blameless “innocent doves” in the role of supposed “mediators and peacemakers”!

The hasty change of tactics of the USA, aimed at dynamically regaining the strategic initiative in WWIII, must redefine the tactical objectives and priorities in the escalation of the war, as well as the consequent changes in the positions and roles of the components of the axis. Even if some kind of ceasefire is achieved in Ukraine, the war will continue unabated.

A partial or total withdrawal of the US “security umbrella” and military presence in Europe is therefore necessary, with a corresponding shift of economic, political and military commitments to the UK and the EU, so that the US can concentrate undistractedly on other theatres of operation: the attack on Yemen, Iran, then the DPRK and finally the PRC.

Of course, the US is trying to shift a significant part of the costs of the axis’ involvement in other theatres of operations to the UK, EU, Japan, South Korea, Australia and other “willing” parties. In addition, they seek traditional colonial-type conquests of territories, populations and natural resources, in Ukraine, the RF, Canada, Greenland, Mexico, Panama, etc.

On 24 April 2025, representatives of the Russian Federation and the United States held negotiations in Saudi Arabia. The choice of Saudi Arabia as the venue for the negotiations is symbolic in many ways, including the practical intention to reattach the country to the US chariot, undermine BRICS, involve it again in the war against Yemen and the genocide in Palestine, strengthen the artery of combined sea and land transport through Saudi territory to supply Israel, etc. The two sides, after hours of expert negotiations, were initially reluctant to issue joint or even separate statements. The next day, separate statements were issued, first by the US and then by the RF.

The White House statements were brief, general and covered:

⊙ ensuring safe navigation, avoiding the use of force and preventing the use of commercial vessels for military purposes in the Black Sea.

⊙ achieving a mechanism to prohibit strikes on Russian and Ukrainian energy infrastructure targets.

⊙ U.S. assistance in restoring Russia’s access to global markets for the export of agricultural products and fertilisers, reducing the cost of maritime insurance, and expanding access to ports and payment systems for such transactions.

⊙ the general intention to achieve a “stable and lasting peace”.

In addition to the above, the Kremlin’s statements included other details such as:

• Lifting of sanctions against the Russian Agricultural Bank (Rosselkhozbank) and other financial institutions involved in international trade in food (including fisheries) and fertilisers, their reintegration into SWIFT and the opening of necessary accounts.

• Lifting of restrictions on the financing of commercial transactions.

• Lifting of sanctions on companies engaged in the production and export of food (including fisheries) and fertilisers, as well as the ban on insurance companies covering such cargoes.

• Lifting of restrictions on ships transporting food and fertilisers (including ships flying the Russian flag).

• Lifting the ban on imports of agricultural machinery and other goods related to food and fertiliser production…

• an abstract reference to efforts of achieving lasting peace.

The Kremlin also published a list of Russian and Ukrainian targets protected by the temporary moratorium on strikes on energy infrastructure:

Oil refineries, oil and natural gas pipelines and storage facilities (including pumping stations), electricity production and distribution infrastructure (power plants, substations, transformers), nuclear power plants, hydroelectric dams.

In principle, the very participation of the RF in this process constitutes an admission of a brutal distortion/inversion of reality: the USA, as the main leading subject of the axis’ aggression (which established, constructed and set in motion the Kiev regime through “external assignment”, the power that shamelessly continues to provide all economic, military, technological, etc. support to the war machine against the RF), is presented as a “neutral peacemaker, mediator and guarantor power in the negotiations and in monitoring the implementation of the agreement”!

None of the above terms is even remotely related to the demands made on the US-NATO, as formulated in the ultimatums of 17 December 2021, which included no further eastward expansion, no NATO membership for post-Soviet countries and no military cooperation agreements with them, the cessation of exercises near the Russian border with nuclear strike scenarios and involving forces larger than a brigade, no further development and withdrawal of medium and long-range missiles and launchers from countries near Russia, as well as the withdrawal of nuclear weapons deployed in third NATO countries (e.g. in Turkey and Germany) to US territory.

None of the above is even remotely related to the stated objectives of the SMO. The territories of the four new regions, which constitutionally form an integral part of the RF following referendums by their populations, have not yet been fully liberated.

Moreover, no rational belligerent who is a victor even “on points” and far from achieving his objective strategic goals will engage in ceasefire negotiations while operations are raging in the field. The opposite implies ineptitude and defeatism from the outset, contributing to the loss of both the initiative and the moral high ground.

Imagine, for example, what it would have looked like in August 1943, after the victory in the Battle of Kursk, if the Soviet leadership had sat down to negotiate a ceasefire with the Romanian Armed Forces at Hitler’s invitation, with his “neutral mediation” and “guarantees”!

The eagerness of the leadership of the RF to cite the terms in detail is, at the very least, an indication of uncertainty and lack of confidence. The very terms which the RF side emphatically cites, clearly concern its reintegration into the previous regime of international transactions, rather than security. Moreover, the Russian side is once again declaring to the international community that it is prepared to assume certain responsibilities, both in the escalation of the negotiations and in the fulfilment of the conditions. What is the purpose of this willingness? To buy time? Can all this be presented to the armed forces and people of the Russian Federation as a “victory” and “success”?

Behind the technical-diplomatic terminology, it is clear that great pressure is being exerted on Russia with the stick of continuation/escalation of the war & sanctions of the attacking axis and the carrot of partial restoration of its position as a “colonial partner” of imperialism!

Wild bargaining is taking place, with largely vague, unclear promises and controversial partial lifting of sanctions and some return of the RF to international transactions with axis-controlled countries, hence: with the bait of some partial restoration of Russia’s position and role as a source of raw materials and energy for imperialism.

Any implementation of similar conditions will, in reality, function as a strengthening of the tendencies of cooptation/buyout of the RF by the USA and the consequent undermining of the pole of the forces of anti-imperialism and socialism. It will only lead to a temporary postponement of a new attack on a Russian Federation that has irreparably lost its credibility and will end up isolated from the allies it had, much weaker and more fragile. There is no need to remind how often President Putin himself has said in recent years: “they have deceived us,” “they have lied to us,” “they have deceived us again,” “they have broken their word,” etc. Every deception presupposes the existence of at least one deceiver manipulating some gullible people. How “gullible” can one be when, in repeated instances, one shows a readiness and willingness to succumb to the temptations of the a priori swindling enemy?

Repeating from time to time “They have sold me out again, they have cheated me…” does not absolve one from the role of object or intermediary in a crude swindle, if not of the masochistic rent collector…

Unfortunately, a significant part of the ruling class, the political leadership and the media of the RF are once again showing their susceptibility to such bargains. In a country whose ruling class emerged from the bourgeois counterrevolution/capitalist restoration and relates to comprador thieving practices of unprecedented magnitude against the achievements of early socialism, there are clearly greenhouse conditions for the 5th column in WWIII.

How many more supposed “negotiations”, “gestures of goodwill” and belated realisations of deception will it take to understand where national/popular sovereignty ends and subservience and betrayal to the 5th Column axis begins?

Some Conclusions

Recent developments in WWIII are making things increasingly clear: 

1. There is not the slightest chance of pacification or ceasefire. On the contrary, the deepening contradictions that gave rise to WWIII, together with the new ones it is bringing to the surface, ARE LEADING TO THE MOST TOTAL AND DESTRUCTIVE PLANETARY WAR IN HISTORY. The widening and deepening of the conflict is an existential one-way street for the axis. The destruction of the axis is a one-way street for the survival of humanity.

2. The strategic objective of the axis remains unchanged: to limit the rates of its decline in the global balance, through the takeover, deception, fragmentation, attrition, blackmail or even the defeat/destruction of the anti-imperialist, socialist and revolutionary forces of the planet, of any formation or plan that could oppose the monopoly of imperialism.

3. The only certainty today is the clear ineffectiveness of the tactics used so far in the theatres of operations, both by the imperialist axis and by the RF and its allies.

4. With the change in the political representation of the US financial oligarchy, some urgent “corrective” changes in tactics are being attempted to achieve this strategic objective, i.e. partial rearrangements in coordination, distribution of positions, roles and emphases of objectives, changes in means, methods, subjects and lethal effectiveness.

5. The new US leadership under President Donald Trump, which expresses the new consensus of the most aggressive circles of the financial oligarchy of imperialism, is attempting to force developments by changing its plans, seizing the strategic initiative (trying to split the front of anti-imperialist and socialist forces by buying/co-opting the Russian bourgeois class, crushing the “weak links” of the pole of resistance, etc.),

6. The USA seems to be reluctant to continue to bear the main burden of the further escalation of the war in the Ukrainian theatre of operations, with the clear intention of reducing its presence or even withdrawing from Europe and transferring the obligations to the UK and the EU at all levels: economic, military, human lives, the fascisation of the EU in order to respond to the new tasks of transition to a “war economy”, the militarisation of society, etc.

7. Thus, the cannibalisation of whatever can be a field of extraction of monopoly super-profits and/or a potential competitor to the USA in Europe and everywhere is being planned.

8. The US imperialists dream of regaining their global hegemony, with the old reliable recipe of WWI and WWII: setting Europe to a massacre with Russia, etc., so that they can belatedly intervene on this front as overlords, to reap the fruits of the “reconstruction” (à la “Marshall Plan” after WWII) on whatever still stands after the carnage, to reap new superprofits, and to re-establish their global hegemony.

9. The US focuses on its №1 existential enemy: the PRC, which “stands out as the actor most capable of threatening U.S. interests globally”, according to the US intelligence report “Annual Threat Evaluation” published on 25 April 2025. “China presents the most comprehensive and robust military threat to U.S. national security”. “Beijing will continue to expand its coercive and subversive malign influence activities to weaken the United States internally and globally” 

The report’s authors believe that the Chinese leadership will resist what it sees as “a campaign orchestrated (by Washington) to tarnish China’s international relations and overthrow the Communist Party of China”.

The same is being planned for the DPRK, Iran, Vietnam, Cuba, Laos, etc. Similarly willing fools are being prepared for slaughter in the Indo-Pacific region, Latin America, Africa, etc.

10. The stagnation in Ukraine and the strategically significant tactical successes of the axis in West Asia and Transcaucasia show the decline and exhaustion of the limits of the power, traditional relations and prestige that the RF drew from some achievements (technological, military, ideological, etc.) of the USSR and the internationalist anti-imperialist policy of early socialism in the 20th century. Even the existence of thousands of cadres in key positions from dependent countries of all continents who studied in the universities of the USSR, an irreplaceable bond of “soft cultural power”, a channel of communication and cooperation, was systematically vilified and ignored by the new counterrevolutionary bureaucracy of the RF imbued with anti-Soviet and anti-communist ideology. Moreover, this link is gradually diminishing due to demographic reasons.

11. The same is true of the remnants/shadows of those who were once associated with the system of early socialism, the “non-aligned movement” and anti-imperialism. Characteristic is the decay, corruption and eventual disappearance of the versions of Arab secular anti-imperialism of socialist orientation like Baathism (in Egypt, Libya, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Yemen, Palestine, etc.).

12. It has been replaced by a regressive revival of ideologies and practices based on pre-capitalist or/and primitive communities, in religious confessions and sects of Islam, Christianity, etc. Religious fundamentalism is also divided into 

a) right-wing gangs in the service of imperialism, and 

b) currents of radical anti-imperialist and plebeian communalism, with tendencies towards pan-Arabism or Islamic anti-imperialism (mainly within the Shiite tradition).

13. Moreover, the containment and cancellation of the dynamic efforts of the USA to seize the strategic initiative is categorically impossible within the framework of the tactic of “ figuring things out as you go”, with the current level of largely spontaneous, loose and unstructured relations prevailing in the forming pole of the forces of socialism and anti-imperialism.

14. Mere negation, the rejection of the domination of the imperialist axis is not enough. The generic and vague, abstract anti-imperialism, which in reality leaves the strategic initiative to the enemy, is no longer enough. A conscious scientific foundation and formulation of the positive prospect, the alternative strategy and tactics of the pole of socialism and anti-imperialism is what is needed. 

15. On this basis, the organisational-institutional upgrade, the total reorganisation of the pole of the forces of anti-imperialism on a consciously planned basis, with the conditions of the ideological-political vanguard/hegemony of scientific socialism, is also necessary.

16. Now that the axis targets the “weak links” of this pole, it is at least necessary to establish and proclaim bilateral and multilateral conditions of collective security binding on all countries, starting from the minimum position: any attack on one of the countries of the pole of resistance will mean immediate military assistance from the other countries. The example of similar alliance commitments between the PRC and the DPRK and between the RF and the DPRK can serve as a model for the spread of such deterrent alliance relations for collective security. The argument that presents the very existence of such an alliance-collective security system as a challenge to greater axis aggression does not hold water. It is not even consistent with the fact that in wartime conditions it is better for the insolent enemy to fear you than to respect you.

17. The venture of the radical change of strategy of the USA, of the seizure of the strategic initiative in WWIII, constitutes a tragic anti-utopia in its desperation. It remains unclear what will be more lethal/destructive in the end: the success or the failure of this macabre plan?

18. Special emphasis must be placed on exposing the dangers of any divisive agreement signed by the newly formed ruling class of the RF with the USA. The consistent progressive forces must make it clear to the people that in the conditions of rapid escalation of WWIII, in the RF and in the world, there exists and acts subversively a 5th column. This 5th column is comprised of two interconnected, alternating and cooperating on the basis of their strategic unity components/tendencies: 1. Cosmopolitan neo-liberalism and 2. Aggressive conservative nationalism. The 2nd tendency is placed today under the hegemony of Trump and “Trumpism”, rallying in the “far right international” the most reactionary and obscurantist elements brought to the surface by the crisis and war, everything that is instrumentalised today in the service of the lethal mechanism of imperialism: from the “anarcho-liberalism” of Javier Milei, to the Nazism of the Kiev junta, the Zionism of Netanyahu and the monarcho-fascism of Dugin…

19. It is therefore necessary to expose and unmask versions of a malignant deception based on vulgar illusions, educational deficits and prejudices. A deception peddled by opportunist profiteers as “anti-imperialism”. The nonsense about the “radical, anti-establishment revolutionary” Trump, who―riding on a white horse together with his mate, the saviour Putin, in blissful collaboration with the fascist international―”will crush the globalists and contribute to the prosperity of the multipolar paradise of the anti-globalists on earth”, with or without compensation, has already caused inordinate damage to many. Detoxification from the extremely destructive disease of necrophilia-Trumpophilia will take time and effort. However, we must make systematic and scientifically documented efforts to prevent the destructive influence of this kind of deadly to the movement poison as well…

20. History is not repeating itself. The existing possibilities of mass annihilation of every form of life on the planet favour the most macabre predictions. Everything will depend on the balance of forces, with the global anti-imperialist front promoted by the World Anti-Imperialist Platform becoming the decisive factor for the survival and revolutionary prospect of humanity.